Free SOA Exam FAM (Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics) Parametric Estimation Practice Questions
Parametric estimation on SOA Exam FAM covers maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), method of moments, and goodness-of-fit testing for insurance loss distributions. These techniques are foundational to actuarial modeling.
Sample Questions
Key asymptotic properties of MLEs:
1. **Consistency**: as .
2. **Asymptotic normality**: where is the Fisher information.
3. **Asymptotic efficiency**: The MLE achieves the Cramér-Rao lower bound asymptotically, meaning it has the smallest asymptotic variance among consistent estimators.
4. **Invariance**: If is the MLE of , then is the MLE of .
Important caveats:
For example, the MLE of in the normal model divides by , not n-1.
For right-censored exponential data, the MLE of θ is: Total exposure includes both exact observations and censored exposure times.
The log-likelihood is: . Taking partial derivatives: . . With and the given data: Equation 1: . Equation 2: . This system must be solved simultaneously using numerical methods (e.g., Newton-Raphson). From Equation 1, we can express as a function of and substitute into Equation 2. From Equation 1: (profile likelihood approach).